IVA Research
A collection of 151 posts
Di-Worse-ified Equity
Is anything as painful as a bad mutual fund that compounds its mediocrity by paying out large capital gains distributions? Vanguard released its final estimates for the capital gains it expects its funds to pay this month, and one of the biggest is coming from one of Vanguard’s worst
How Clear Is Vanguard’s Crystal Ball?
Vanguard’s annual economic and market outlook has just been published and will no doubt garner some interest in part because it runs to almost 60 pages—long enough to suggest that it must be right. But quantity doesn’t always equal quality or accuracy! So, if you’re going
Yield Curve Flashes Yellow
One of Wall Street’s go-to recession warning signs—the yield curve—is flashing yellow right now. The media is all over it and the headlines sure sound scary. Since I too include the yield curve on my “recession dashboard,” let’s take a closer look at what it is,
Down, Not Out
"Reports of my death are greatly exaggerated.” Mark Twain didn’t quite say that, but I’m reminded of the misquote these days whenever I read articles declaring the death of the classic balanced portfolio—60% stocks and 40% bonds. There’s no sugar-coating it, 2022 has been a
Distribution Season Comes For Non-Vanguard Funds Too
Note: This article contains distribution data for calendar year 2022. Earlier this week I detailed which Vanguard mutual funds are expected to distribute capital gains and when. But in the past, we’ve recommended a few non-Vanguard mutual funds as replacements for Vanguard funds that close to new investors. How